The Categories That’ll Get Announced on Monday Morning:
Best Picture: (7/9)
The Father
Judas and the Black Messiah
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
Minari
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Thoughts: It was a distinctive possibility that The Father would sneak in. But as it turns out, it wasn't Sound of Metal that would take the hit. But the August Wilson adaption ultimately fell short. I guess One Night in Miami didn't drive enough passion to make the cut, either.
Best Actor: (5/5)
Riz Ahmed---Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman---Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins---The Father
Gary Oldman---Mank
Steven Yeun---Minari
Thoughts: Turns out we were on the money with this category. I mean, Oldman was the one I had questions about, but as it turns out, voters weren't interesting in snubbing the actor who played the titular character in Mank. Boseman is still the heavy favorite to win Best Actor. In other news, water is still wet.
Best Actress: (5/5)
Viola Davis---Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Andra Day---The United States vs Billie Holiday
Vanessa Kirby---Pieces of a Woman
Carey Mulligan---Promising Young Woman
Frances McDormand---Nomadland
Thoughts: I read that category perfectly. I think it's Mulligan's to lose, by the way.
Best Supporting Actor: (4/5)
Sacha Baron Cohen---The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya---Judas and the Black Messiah
Leslie Odom Jr.---One Night in Miami
Paul Raci---Sound of Metal
LaKeith Stanfield---Judas and the Black Messiah
David Strathairn---Nomadland
Thoughts: And welcome to the straight outta nowhere surprise of the acting categories. I don't think anyone thought Stanfield would end up in the race, but as it turns out, his performance as Bill O'Neal turned enough heads. I thought this was Kaluuya's race to lose and that may still be the case. But adding a second actor from Judas does open up the possibility of a surprise winner.
Best Supporting Actress: (4/5)
Maria Bakalova---Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Glenn Close---Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman---The Father
Jodie Foster---The Mauritanian
Amanda Seyfried---Mank
Youn Yuh-jung---Minari
Thoughts: I guess they were less enamored by Foster's speech at the Golden Globes than I thought. And Mank hadn't faded as fast as I expected. Other than Seyfried and Colman (who already won for The Favourite and I don't expect her to win again so soon), this race is fairly wide open. Bakalova would possibly be the first comedic actress to prevail since Marisa Tomei (My Cousin Vinny) in 1993. Yuh-jung would be
Best Director: (4/5)
Lee Isaac Chung---Minari
Emerald Fennell---Promising Young Woman
David Fincher---Mank
Aaron Sorkin---The Trial of the Chicago 7
Thomas Vinterberg---Another Round
Chloe Zhao---Nomadland
Thoughts: I guess I can brag for a moment that I did show enough guts to pick Vinterberg, best known as one of the founders of minimalist film movement Dogme 95 along with Lars von Trier. Sure, I picked the wrong name to be ousted (it turns out Sorkin didn't get enough love from the directors) which means that the Best Picture race is likely down to 4 films. On the plus side, two women did make the cut so hurrah for the diversity initiative by the Academy!
The Rest of the Nominees:
Best Adapted Screenplay: (4/5)
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
The Father
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
The White Tiger
Thoughts: It turns out that there WAS enough room for both Borat and The White Tiger. It just came at the expense of Ma Rainey's Black Bottom which will have to settle for Boseman's win and maybe a technical category or two.
Best Original Screenplay: (4/5)
Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Thoughts: As it turns out, Judas's push at the end was enough to knock out Mank. I think the race comes down to Sorkin (for Trial of the Chicago 7) and Fennell (for Promising Young Woman).
Best Cinematography: (5/5)
Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
News of the World
Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Thoughts: Can't mess with perfection after reading that category just right.
Best Film Editing: (3/5)
The Father
Mank
Minari
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Thoughts: At the end, both spoilers took out Minari...and Mank. Oof.
Best Production Design: (4/5)
The Father
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
Mulan
News of the World
Tenet
Thoughts: In the end, voters decided the understated efforts of The Father outshone the flashier ones of Mulan.
Best Costume Design: (4/5)
Ammonite
Emma
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
Mulan
Pinocchio
Thoughts: I suppose that Pinocchio and its costumes blew away the voting committee. The dangers of over-relying on one source is what led me to gamble on Ammonite.
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: (5/5)
Birds of Prey
Hillbilly Elegy
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
Pinocchio
Thoughts: Another category where I read the tea leaves perfectly.
Best Score: (3/5)
Blizzard of Souls
Da 5 Bloods
Mank
The Midnight Sky
Minari
News of the World
Soul
Thoughts: If I got a score on how I did with the score category, I think it'd be a C- for barely passing. Blizzard was admittedly a reach and I thought Da 5 Bloods was a long shot. Missing Minari is more understandable because The Midnight Sky was doing well before just missing out.
Best Original Song: (4/5)
Fight for You (Judas and the Black Messiah)
Hear My Voice (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
Husavik (Eurovision Song Contest)
Io Si (Seen) (The Life Ahead)
Speak Now (One Night in Miami)
Turntables (All In: The Fight for Democracy)
Thoughts: As it turns out, Husavik was in the clear this whole time. But Turntables got scratched in favor of Hear My Voice.
Best Sound: (4/5)
Greyhound
Mank
News of the World
Nomadland
Soul
Sound of Metal
Thoughts: As it turns out, it wasn't as wild as feared. The use of music in Soul is what prevailed over Nomadland.
Best Visual Effects: (3/5)
Love and Monsters
Mank
The Midnight Sky
Mulan
The One and Only Ivan
Tenet
Welcome to Chechnya
Thoughts: Should have gone the other direction with the Chechnya/Ivan coin flip. Love and Monsters must have knocked out of the park with the voting committee.
Best Animated Film: (4/5)
The Croods: A New Age
Onward
Over the Moon
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
Soul
Wolfwalkers
Another Round
Better Days
Collective
I’m No Longer Here
The Man Who Sold His Skin
Quo Vadis, Aida?
Two of Us
Thoughts: I'm going on a limb and say that Better Days might be one of the biggest surprises of the day.
Best Documentary: (2/5)
Collective
Crip Camp
Dick Johnson is Dead
The Mole Agent
My Octopus Teacher
Time
The Truffle Hunters
Welcome to Chechnya
Thoughts: Easier to point out what I got right than what I got wrong.
Best Documentary Short: (4/5)
Abortion Helpline: This is Lisa
Colette
A Concerto is a Conversation
Do Not Split
Hunger Ward
A Love Song for Latasha
Thoughts: Outside of a judgement call that didn't work in our favor, a solid job.
Best Animated Short: (3/5)
Burrow
Genius Loci
If Anything Happens, I Love You
Opera
Out
The Snail and the Whale
Yes People
Thoughts: Judgment call on Opera vs Out went wrong. Yes People came outta nowhere, didn't it?
Best Live Action Short: (3/5)
Da Yie
Feeling Through
The Human Voice
The Letter Room
The Present
Two Distant Strangers
White Eye
Thoughts: Both the spoilers snuck in. Da Yie not making it is fine. The Human Voice not making it is a shock.
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